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How the U.S.-Iran Deal Put A Higher Floor Under Oil Prices

Analysis of how the U.S.-Iran nuclear deal establishes a price floor for crude oil by enabling recovery of Middle East production capacity, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and supporting inventory refilling globally, contingent on the agreement's stability.

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Analysts are back to expecting a huge oil glut next year as they see the U.S.-Iran deal as the end of the worst of the Middle East crisis.    The deal is actually just the beginning of long processes of negotiations, a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, recovery of the more than 13 million barrels per day (bpd) of shut-in oil production in the Middle East, and a world so low on inventories – except in China – that refilling these will support oil prices for months to come. If the deal holds. Every assumption about global oil…

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