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French historian Jean-Baptiste Fressoz has offered energy-transition skeptics an appealing historical argument. In More and More and More, he argues that humanity has never really moved from one energy source to another. Wood was joined by coal, coal by oil, oil by gas and all of them by renewables. Energy sources accumulate rather than replace one another. Global primary-energy charts make the argument look convincing. Fossil use remains near record levels after trillions in clean-energy investment. Biomass did not disappear when coal arrived,…
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For years, the West has searched for a technological escape hatch from rare earths. Engineers have developed new motor designs, alternative magnet chemistries, and materials that reduce or even eliminate the need for some critical minerals. Every time China tightens export controls, those efforts receive another burst of attention. They're worth pursuing. But they don't answer the question manufacturers have to solve today. Production capacity has become the number one scarce asset. That realization is driving one of the most ambitious industrial…
Last month, Shell (NYSE:SHEL), alongside Malaysia's PETRONAS, China's PetroChina, Mitsubishi Corporation and KOGAS, officially approved the Final Investment Decision (FID) for the LNG Canada Phase 2 expansion project, doubling the facility's capacity to 28 million tons per annum (mtpa) and reinforcing the country's potential as a significant long-term supplier to Asian markets. Together with Cedar LNG and Woodfibre, both currently under construction, Canada is expected to export 33 mtpa of LNG by the end of the current decade. According to…
China has relied on its huge crude oil inventories since the Iran war hiked oil prices to above $100 per barrel. The world’s biggest crude importer has drawn from its 1.3-billion-barrel stash for most of the months after March as it slashed imports amid soaring prices. The stock draws, and the reduced imports in the spring and summer, have even kept benchmark crude oil prices in check despite the major disruption to flows from the Middle East, as China’s crude supply management was one of the key buffers the market has had since the…
The European Union will shun crude oil and natural gas produced from fields in the Arctic, recommending that these “stay in the ground” under its new Arctic strategy released this week. The reiteration of the EU’s stance on Arctic hydrocarbons comes amid a severe fuel crisis and soaring gas prices ahead of winter peak demand season. The update on the Arctic strategy of the bloc that has quite limited geographical exposure to the Arctic comes five years after the last one, as the Arctic draws increasing attention, notably from…
The energy demand boom being driven by the artificial intelligence era is placing unprecedented strain on global energy infrastructure. Not only are the world’s energy production capacities – and especially clean energy production capacities – dwarfed by projected data center energy demand curves in coming years, the physical infrastructure needed to build and sustain never-before-seen rates of electrification and energy consumption growth is woefully underdeveloped. At present, the world’s energy grids and transmission…